The binomial distribution · Grade 12

In Grade 12 you learn: binomial probabilities.

The binomial distribution counts the number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials. Each trial has the same probability of success. If X is the number of successes in n trials with probability p, then X ~ B(n, p).

Key facts

  • Conditions: a fixed number of trials n, two outcomes each time, a constant probability p, and independent trials.
  • P(X = r) = nCr × p^r × (1 − p)^(n − r).
  • P(X ≤ r): add P(X = 0) up to P(X = r). Or use cumulative tables or a calculator.
  • P(X ≥ r) = 1 − P(X ≤ r − 1).
  • Mean: E(X) = np. Variance: Var(X) = np(1 − p).
  • P(at least one success) = 1 − (1 − p)^n.

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